I find it interesting that whilst there is political turmoil across most of London, the south-west Lib Dem stronghold doesn’t budge.
I think the competent performance of those councils to date is part of it. Whilst across the rest of London the message was ‘change’, the message in the SW was about staying on course.
There may have been some rallying around keeping reform out, but in the end that hardly seemed a threat.
I guess that and it’s the stronghold of the ‘centrist dad’ as Reddit would say!
The Arsenal ward in Islington also exhibited ballot order effect, with the 2 green and 1 Labour candidate whose names appeared first getting elected. It was close though!
The Australians, rightly, in my opinion, randomise the order of candidates on ballot papers - their ballot papers are very long - to obviate ballot order effect. It can't be too complicated for us to do the same.
The Greens were four votes away from a majority in Haringey - with Labour candidate Hasret Bodozgan elected in Woodside ward with 1,337 votes and Green candidate Hayley Jukes on 1,334.
Something notable from Islington's results is it's clear that Corbyn missed his moment. None of his people were elected. Somebody he endorsed in a 2024 by-election jumped ship from "Islington Independent" to Green and won. The Greens are the party of the left and he should stop pretending there's an alternative.
Wandsworth Council results were a wild example of how FPTP harms the progressive vote in London.
Progressive parties got more than 60% of the vote, and Labour came first in vote share on 34%, to the Tories 31%, yet the Tories have very narrowly got most seats there. Because reform don't have a foothold, they had a clear field on the right.
Interesting that in Richmond Borough, The Greens increased their vote share from 5.3% to 16.11%, so three times as many votes 2022 ->2026.
The impact of this and AND the droo in Lib Dem vote share was that... the Greens lost all of their seats 🙃. Make that make sense, without mentioning FPTP 🙄.
I find it interesting that whilst there is political turmoil across most of London, the south-west Lib Dem stronghold doesn’t budge.
I think the competent performance of those councils to date is part of it. Whilst across the rest of London the message was ‘change’, the message in the SW was about staying on course.
There may have been some rallying around keeping reform out, but in the end that hardly seemed a threat.
I guess that and it’s the stronghold of the ‘centrist dad’ as Reddit would say!
Also sometimes things are just a bit random and legacies of when the Lib Dems ended up as the non-Conservative default option!
It’s a very weird map for them, though.
The Arsenal ward in Islington also exhibited ballot order effect, with the 2 green and 1 Labour candidate whose names appeared first getting elected. It was close though!
The Australians, rightly, in my opinion, randomise the order of candidates on ballot papers - their ballot papers are very long - to obviate ballot order effect. It can't be too complicated for us to do the same.
The Greens were four votes away from a majority in Haringey - with Labour candidate Hasret Bodozgan elected in Woodside ward with 1,337 votes and Green candidate Hayley Jukes on 1,334.
Something notable from Islington's results is it's clear that Corbyn missed his moment. None of his people were elected. Somebody he endorsed in a 2024 by-election jumped ship from "Islington Independent" to Green and won. The Greens are the party of the left and he should stop pretending there's an alternative.
Wandsworth Council results were a wild example of how FPTP harms the progressive vote in London.
Progressive parties got more than 60% of the vote, and Labour came first in vote share on 34%, to the Tories 31%, yet the Tories have very narrowly got most seats there. Because reform don't have a foothold, they had a clear field on the right.
Great analysis thank you 🙏.
Interesting that in Richmond Borough, The Greens increased their vote share from 5.3% to 16.11%, so three times as many votes 2022 ->2026.
The impact of this and AND the droo in Lib Dem vote share was that... the Greens lost all of their seats 🙃. Make that make sense, without mentioning FPTP 🙄.