20 Comments
User's avatar
Alex Wilson's avatar

Between this, the mania for crypto currency, and young people all trying to win the influencer algorithm lottery, it feels like we've sleep-walked into a society where people believe the only chance they have at social mobility is gambling.

That does not feel... great.

Expand full comment
Judith's avatar

I *loved* this piece but it tells us something just so totally depressing about the housing market in London. Rooting for Kim to win it!

Expand full comment
Jim Waterson's avatar

She was amazing. It sounds like a cliche but meeting people like her genuinely is one of the best parts of this job.

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

I bet she’s watched the videos on the Omaze site where an early winner says he manifested so hard that he had TOLD HIS KIDS all about their new home. And then he won a big house in Finsbury Parkish area.

What makes his story even more dangerous for me is that they film him outside his old, less impressive home - and it’s on my street! He was about 15 doors along. Making me want to believe that this is where winners are made. Ffs.

Expand full comment
Elizabeth M's avatar

If I remember rightly the Omaze blurb for the Finsbury Park house overestimated the likely value, described it as Islington which whilst technically true is a bit of a stretch for where people think Islington is, and very much failed to mentioned the adjacent large secondary school. Nice house all the same and I’d not have said no thanks!

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

Yep you’re absolutely right. It’s in an inbetween sort of no man’s land but the guy did have a couple of young kids so maybe they got to enjoy the school at least.

It’s always an unsellable house. At least, at the price they’re asking. Jim was very right to investigate the alleged values - when I imagine myself winning one and selling it I always subtract a million from my calculations…

Expand full comment
Catrin Nye's avatar

C’mon Kim!

Expand full comment
Anna Sayburn Lane's avatar

That's a fascinating story. I admit I've been tempted! I know the site well, having done Shakespeare guided walks around the area, but I didn't know the history of that specific house.

Regarding the Omaze phenomenon, there's a modernist clifftop house in Kent, which was an Omaze house a couple of years ago. It seems to be permanently on the market since it's lucky winner won their 'dream home'. I wonder how many of these houses look great but have serious issues.

Expand full comment
Joey den Broeder's avatar

The little loopholes these companies jump through to avoid being classified as a lottery... You see it everywhere now, especially on YouTube.

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

Brilliant, that has scratched my itch, thankyou.

Yours in embarrassing possession of a few tickets…

Expand full comment
Jim Waterson's avatar

Will you invite me over?

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

I fear that neither of us have manifested hard enough.

Expand full comment
Damien's avatar

Don't a lot of these winners end up selling up right away due the cost of running the homes?

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

You now win up to £250k in cash as part of the prize to help with that, but yes. More excitingly, people who don’t sell up and do move into these raffle houses often find out they’re eg built on a flood plain or on an eroding cliff.

Expand full comment
Jim Waterson's avatar

I actually thought one of the most intriguing bits of reporting out this story was the stagnation of the high end London property market, which is challenging to a lot of narratives!

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

I think that’s worthy of a whole other Centric article. I do find it fascinating - and is it just me or is that £4 or £5m point the most static of all.

A few years ago someone I knew was selling up in Chelsea when those big white terraces were going for that price. Much more recently I moved temporarily to a rented flat in Primrose Hill where all the similar white terraces were trying to sell for that price but stagnating.

And now I’m back in Hackney, where constant growth means we now have a few beautiful period houses on for that price too. But I feel that ours don’t stagnate as much - I mean Hackney has seen *such* growth that Inigo / The Modern House said they were setting up a Hackney office. I don’t believe they have any other regional offices, so that’s quite something.

Expand full comment
Jim Waterson's avatar

Half a mil of tax and 4.5% interest rates will do that to people!

Expand full comment
The Sophist's avatar

But it’s that *particular* price bracket, and all the wildly different posh areas of London now seem to charge it. Primrose Hill is v different from Chelsea but they’re asking about the same now. Everything seems to get stuck there.

Are the £20m listings stagnating in the same way or are they going to overseas investors less affected by our taxes and interest rates?

Expand full comment
Joey den Broeder's avatar

That's why everyone's planning to go straight to AirBnB for half of the house.

Expand full comment
Rasarrak's avatar

It would be a massive coincidence if someone loosely related to the Omaze organisation eventually wins the house in the 'prize draw'.

Expand full comment